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#1136860 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 01.Jun.2023) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Two Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022020 400 PM CDT Thu Jun 01 2023 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE AND BE SHORT-LIVED... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.0N 86.6W ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WNW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM NW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was located near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 86.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A motion to the south is expected to begin by Friday with gradually increasing forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some modest intensification is forecast, and the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or tomorrow. However, the system should begin to weaken by Friday night and degenerate into a remnant low by Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). NOAA buoy 42039 recently reported sustained winds of 36 mph (57 km/h) with a gust of 40 mph (65 km/h). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with localized higher amounts up to 6 inches are possible through Saturday across portions of the central and southern Florida Peninsula. This rainfall is not directly related to Tropical Depression Two. This rainfall could lead to isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Papin |