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#114010 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:43 AM 02.Oct.2006) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 800 AM AST MON OCT 02 2006 ...ISAAC CONTINUES RACING TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ST. JOHNS AND CAPE RACE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BURIN PENINSULA AND BONAVISTA PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 AM AST...1200Z..THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.7 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES... 595 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY. REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...42.0 N...56.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH |