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#1140522 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 22.Jun.2023)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042023
1500 UTC THU JUN 22 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 42.9W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 42.9W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 42.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.8N 44.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.8N 47.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.0N 49.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N 52.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.1N 54.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.6N 57.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.7N 62.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 24.0N 65.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 42.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS