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#1140837 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:03 PM 23.Jun.2023) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023 1100 PM AST Fri Jun 23 2023 ...BRET ABOUT TO PASS NORTH OF ARUBA, BONAIRE, AND CURACAO... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON SATURDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 68.1W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM NE OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the ABC Islands should monitor the progress of Bret. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 68.1 West. Bret is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Bret will continue to move across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea north of the ABC Islands tonight and Saturday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Bret is expected to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea on Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) to the north of the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall associated with Bret is expected to continue to diminish across the Lesser Antilles tonight. SURF: Swells are likely to increase in areas adjacent to the central Caribbean Sea through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |