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| #1143767 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 15.Jul.2023) TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 1500 UTC SAT JUL 15 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 48.8W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 48.8W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.8N 48.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.1N 48.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.5N 46.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 39.3N 44.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.4N 42.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.8N 41.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 33.9N 41.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 33.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N 48.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
