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| #1143803 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 15.Jul.2023) TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 2100 UTC SAT JUL 15 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 48.6W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 48.6W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.3N 48.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.3N 47.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.4N 45.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.6N 43.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 37.1N 41.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.4N 40.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 33.2N 41.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 33.5N 42.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N 48.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
