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| #1143926 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 16.Jul.2023) TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 1500 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 48.1W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 48.1W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.4N 46.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 38.9N 44.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 37.8N 42.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.2N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.7N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.5N 41.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 33.0N 43.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 35.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 48.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
