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| #1143995 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 16.Jul.2023) TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 2100 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 47.0W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 47.0W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 47.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.4N 45.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.5N 42.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 37.0N 41.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.3N 40.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.8N 40.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N 41.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 33.4N 44.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 35.5N 48.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 47.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
