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| #1144038 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 16.Jul.2023) TCMAT5 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 0300 UTC MON JUL 17 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 45.8W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 45.8W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 46.4W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 39.1N 43.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 37.9N 41.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.3N 40.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.6N 40.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.5N 40.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.2N 41.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 34.2N 44.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.2N 48.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.4N 45.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
