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| #1144178 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 17.Jul.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052023 0300 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 40.4W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 90SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 40.4W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 40.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.3N 39.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.9N 39.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 34.1N 39.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.8N 40.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.2N 41.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.0N 43.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.4N 46.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 41.3N 49.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N 40.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
