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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 
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#1148557 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 20.Aug.2023)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Emily Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072023
1100 AM AST Sun Aug 20 2023

...SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATES TROPICAL STORM EMILY HAS
FORMED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 38.8W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1615 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Emily was
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 38.8 West. Emily is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Satellite wind data indicates that maximum sustained winds are near
50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength
forecast today followed by gradual weakening. Emily is likely to
become a post-tropical remnant low by Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Papin