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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 
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#1148599 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 20.Aug.2023)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Emily Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072023
500 PM AST Sun Aug 20 2023

...EMILY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 39.4W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Emily was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 39.4 West. Emily is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and a
west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next
couple of days. A turn to the north is forecast by the middle of
the week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast, and Emily could become a
post-tropical cyclone in a couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi