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#1148602 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 20.Aug.2023) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023 2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 67.1W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 67.1W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 66.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.0N 68.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.4N 70.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.8N 71.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.2N 71.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.1N 71.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N 70.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 23.9N 67.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 25.4N 65.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 67.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |