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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 
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#1148640 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 20.Aug.2023)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Emily Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072023
1100 PM AST Sun Aug 20 2023

...EMILY WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 40.2W
ABOUT 1105 MI...1780 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Emily was
located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 40.2 West. Emily is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and a
west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next
couple of days. A turn to the north is forecast by the middle of
the week.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Emily could
become a post-tropical cyclone in about 36 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Brown