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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#1148645 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 20.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
0300 UTC MON AUG 21 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 68.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 68.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 67.8W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.3N 71.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.2N 71.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.1N 71.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 70.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.9N 69.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 24.3N 67.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 26.2N 64.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 68.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN