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| #1148724 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 21.Aug.2023) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023 1500 UTC MON AUG 21 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 70.1W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 70.1W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 69.6W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.2N 70.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.7N 71.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.3N 70.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.2N 70.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.2N 69.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.8N 68.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 24.4N 65.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 26.4N 63.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 70.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
