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| #1148917 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 22.Aug.2023) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023 1500 UTC TUE AUG 22 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 71.1W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 30SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 71.1W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 71.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.5N 71.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 10SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.3N 70.9W...SOUTH COAST OF DOMIN REPUB MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 10SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.4N 70.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 10SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.1N 69.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 10SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.9N 68.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.3N 67.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 24.2N 66.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 27.1N 67.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 71.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 22/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
