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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#1148984 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 22.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
2100 UTC TUE AUG 22 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 71.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.0N 71.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 10SW 10NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.1N 70.9W...OVER HISPANIOLA
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 10NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.9N 70.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 10SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 69.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.5N 68.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.9N 67.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 24.3N 66.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 27.6N 67.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 71.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG