|
Show Selection: |
| #1148987 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 22.Aug.2023) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082023 500 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2023 ...FRANKLIN POISED TO BRING FLOODING RAINS TO HISPANIOLA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 71.4W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic entire south coast from Haiti border eastward to Cabo Engano * Dominican Republic entire north coast from Haiti border eastward to Cabo Engano * Haiti entire south coast from Anse d`Hainault eastward to the Dominican Republic border A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Turks and Caicos Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in Haiti should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 71.4 West. Franklin is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the northeast by Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to approach the southern coast of Hispaniola tonight, cross the island on Wednesday, and then emerge over the southwestern Atlantic waters late Wednesday. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days while Franklin moves near and across Hispaniola. Some strengthening is possible late Thursday into Friday as Franklin moves farther northeast over the southwestern Atlantic waters. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) mainly to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure on dropsonde data is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Franklin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. RAINFALL: Franklin is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher amounts up to 15 inches across portions of Hispaniola through Wednesday. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches, with storm total maxima of 6 inches, are expected across Puerto Rico and Vieques into Thursday. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin within the warning area tonight and continue into Wednesday Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Turks and Caicos Islands Wednesday night. STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible along the coast of Hispaniola in areas of onshore winds. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg |
