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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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#1149174 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 PM 23.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 70.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 70.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 70.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.3N 69.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.0N 68.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.3N 66.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.7N 65.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.4N 65.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.8N 65.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 29.2N 67.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 33.0N 67.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 70.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE