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#1149374 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 25.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
1500 UTC FRI AUG 25 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 67.8W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 67.8W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 68.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.1N 67.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.8N 66.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 23.7N 67.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.2N 68.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.8N 69.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 28.7N 69.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 33.1N 68.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 39.0N 63.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE