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#1149415 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 25.Aug.2023)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082023
2100 UTC FRI AUG 25 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 67.0W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 67.0W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 67.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 22.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 22.8N 66.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 23.8N 66.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.4N 67.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.3N 68.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 29.2N 68.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 33.0N 67.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 37.8N 62.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 67.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE