F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)
 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#1149661 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 27.Aug.2023)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
1500 UTC SUN AUG 27 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 85.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 85.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 86.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.7N 85.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.6N 85.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.9N 85.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.0N 85.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.2N 85.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 28.9N 84.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 70SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 33.0N 79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N 74.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 85.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 27/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH