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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1149841 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 28.Aug.2023)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 85.2W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 85.2W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 85.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.0N 85.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 40SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.9N 85.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 5NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 10NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.4N 84.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.2N 83.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.9N 81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.6N 78.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 80SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 34.6N 71.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 34.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 85.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 28/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN