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| #1150015 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 29.Aug.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023 0900 UTC TUE AUG 29 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 85.0W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 140SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 85.0W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 85.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.9N 84.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 150SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 27.8N 84.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.6N 82.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 32.7N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 150SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 33.8N 77.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.9N 74.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 33.3N 71.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 32.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 85.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 29/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
