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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 55 (Milton) , Major: 55 (Milton) Florida - Any: 55 (Milton) Major: 55 (Milton)
 
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#1150412 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 30.Aug.2023)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 81.7W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 81.7W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 82.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.4N 79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 90SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 34.1N 75.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.7N 72.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 70SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.8N 69.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 70SE 80SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.1N 68.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.7N 67.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 0SE 30SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 32.3N 65.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 34.4N 61.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 81.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG