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| #1150548 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 31.Aug.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023 0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 78.0W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT.......140NE 160SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 220SE 180SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 78.0W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 78.8W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 34.0N 75.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.5N 71.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.4N 69.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 90SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 0SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.2N 67.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 31.4N 66.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 33.1N 63.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 35.6N 61.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 78.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
