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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 
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#1150704 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 31.Aug.2023)
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 71.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 180SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 71.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 72.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.3N 69.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 110SE 150SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.1N 67.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 0SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.6N 65.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 0SE 0SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.3N 64.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 32.3N 63.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 34.3N 61.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 36.8N 59.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 38.7N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 71.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI