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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)
 
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#1150792 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 01.Sep.2023)
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 67.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
34 KT.......210NE 150SE 170SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 67.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 68.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.3N 66.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 70SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.9N 64.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 0SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.1N 63.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 50SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 32.0N 61.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 33.5N 59.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 35.1N 58.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 38.3N 57.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 40.1N 57.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 67.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG