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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
 
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#1150867 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 01.Sep.2023)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gert Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062023
500 PM AST Fri Sep 01 2023

...FOR THE SECOND MONTH IN A ROW GERT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 54.4W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gert was
located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 54.4 West. Gert is
moving toward the east-southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow
generally eastward motion is expected tonight. A slightly faster
northeastward motion is expected to begin by Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some slight additional intensification is possible
tonight or tomorrow. Weakening is likely by Sunday, and Gert is
expected to dissipate by Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky