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| #1151659 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 AM 07.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 26.4W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 26.4W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 25.7W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.4N 28.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.3N 31.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.5N 34.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.8N 37.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.0N 38.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.4N 40.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 26.1N 41.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.2N 42.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 26.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY/CAMPOSANO |
