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| #1151708 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 07.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 28.3W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 28.3W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 27.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N 30.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 10SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.5N 33.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.8N 36.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.1N 38.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.6N 39.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.4N 41.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 28.0N 42.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 31.5N 43.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 28.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY/CAMPOSANO |
