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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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#1152244 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 10.Sep.2023)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 39.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 39.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 39.9W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N 40.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.8N 40.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.8N 40.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.8N 40.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.6N 41.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 34.8N 41.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 36.6N 41.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 37.5N 40.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 39.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH