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| #1152321 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 11.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 40.0W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 40.0W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 40.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.6N 40.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.8N 40.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.9N 40.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.6N 41.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 34.7N 41.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.8N 41.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 37.1N 40.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 37.0N 41.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 40.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/TAYLOR |
