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| #1152415 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 11.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 39.6W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 70SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 165SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 39.6W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 39.7W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.7N 39.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.8N 40.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.4N 41.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 25NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 34.6N 41.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.6N 41.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.5N 41.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 37.3N 41.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.5N 42.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 39.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
