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| #1152451 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 12.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 0900 UTC TUE SEP 12 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 39.5W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 165SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 39.5W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 39.5W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.9N 39.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 32.7N 40.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.0N 41.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N 42.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N 41.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.9N 41.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 38.2N 42.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 40.4N 43.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 39.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
