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| #1152487 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 12.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 39.4W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......220NE 180SE 160SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 39.4W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 39.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.8N 40.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...220NE 180SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.3N 41.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 34.3N 41.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.3N 41.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 0SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.3N 41.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.0N 41.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 160SE 130SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 38.5N 43.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 40.5N 43.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 39.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY |
