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| #1152535 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 12.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 2100 UTC TUE SEP 12 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 39.6W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......230NE 150SE 120SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 39.6W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 39.5W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 33.2N 40.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...220NE 160SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.4N 41.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.4N 41.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.4N 40.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.1N 40.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.5N 41.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 150SE 130SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 38.1N 42.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 40.0N 43.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 39.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY |
