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| #1152736 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 13.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 40.5W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 15SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 40.5W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 40.6W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.9N 40.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 15SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.4N 39.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.4N 39.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.1N 39.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.6N 40.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.5N 41.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 37.2N 43.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 40.4N 40.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 40.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY |
