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| #1152793 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:02 PM 14.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 39.8W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. 50 KT.......100NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......170NE 200SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 280SE 370SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 39.8W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 40.1W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.8N 39.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.7N 38.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.2N 38.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 110SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.5N 39.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.0N 41.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.1N 42.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 37.5N 43.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N 39.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER FRACASSO/BLAKE |
