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| #1152958 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 15.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 37.9W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......260NE 140SE 100SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..380NE 220SE 260SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 37.9W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 37.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.5N 38.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 140SE 130SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 34.8N 39.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.6N 41.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.2N 42.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 36.2N 42.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 37.9N 41.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 39.2N 36.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 39.0N 31.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 37.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI |
