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| #1152998 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 15.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 38.0W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 34 KT.......260NE 140SE 130SW 220NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 210SE 270SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 38.0W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 37.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.0N 38.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...210NE 120SE 110SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.4N 40.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.6N 42.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.3N 43.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.9N 42.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 38.6N 40.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 38.5N 34.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.2N 31.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 38.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
