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| #1153043 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 AM 16.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 38.3W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 34 KT.......260NE 180SE 130SW 220NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 270SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 38.3W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 38.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 34.5N 39.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.3N 41.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 34.8N 42.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 36.0N 43.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 37.7N 41.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 38.9N 39.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 38.5N 33.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 38.5N 29.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N 38.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
