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| #1153083 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 16.Sep.2023) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142023 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 38.7W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 130SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 260SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 38.7W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 38.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.1N 40.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.3N 41.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.1N 43.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.5N 42.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 37.9N 40.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 38.6N 37.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 37.8N 33.1W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 38.0N 30.1W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 38.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER MAHONEY/BUCCI |
