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| #1153084 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 16.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 46.2W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 46.2W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 45.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.3N 47.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.2N 49.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 20SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.7N 50.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.2N 52.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.5N 54.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.9N 56.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 32.8N 58.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 37.0N 55.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 46.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HOGSETT/BUCCI |
