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| #1153164 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 16.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 0300 UTC SUN SEP 17 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 48.0W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 48.0W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 47.6W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.6N 49.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.3N 50.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.7N 52.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.8N 54.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.4N 55.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.3N 56.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 36.0N 55.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 41.9N 47.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 48.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
