|
Show Selection: |
| #1153247 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 17.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 1500 UTC SUN SEP 17 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 49.1W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 105SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 49.1W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 48.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.3N 50.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.8N 51.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 28.2N 53.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.8N 54.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.8N 55.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.2N 54.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 39.6N 49.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 46.5N 35.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 49.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY |
