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| #1153289 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 17.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 49.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 49.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 49.2W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.3N 50.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 27.8N 52.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.2N 53.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.1N 55.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.7N 54.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 41.3N 45.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 47.8N 31.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 49.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
