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| #1153385 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 18.Sep.2023) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023 1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 51.4W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......140NE 110SE 50SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 51.4W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 51.1W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 28.4N 52.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 30.0N 53.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.0N 54.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.6N 54.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 37.4N 52.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.3N 47.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 160SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 46.5N 33.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 53.5N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 51.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
