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#1153386 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 18.Sep.2023) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Nigel Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152023 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 18 2023 ...NIGEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.2N 51.4W ABOUT 875 MI...1410 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nigel was located near latitude 27.2 North, longitude 51.4 West. Nigel is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Nigel is then forecast to turn northward late Tuesday, and then accelerate northeastward through the rest of the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Nigel is forecast to rapidly strengthen into a major hurricane on Tuesday. A gradual weakening trend could start on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |